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[vc_row][vc_column width=”3/4″][vc_column_text]Kick-off: 1230, 16/02/2019
Stadium: Amex Stadium
TV: BT Sport
Brighton made hard work of getting past West Brom in the last round of the FA Cup but are still fancied to see off Derby at Amex Stadium.
Albion can fully focus on this clash, as they don’t play again in the Premier League for 10 days, whereas the Rams may be distracted by two crucial Championship fixtures coming up.
That makes 4/5 for the Seagulls to get the job done in normal time a solid Brighton vs Derby prediction.
Brighton had 24 shots without scoring in a goalless draw with the Baggies at this venue and then wasted more good chances at The Hawthorns before eventually advancing after extra-time.
Bringing on Glenn Murray during that additional period did the trick, with his double strike helping to secure a 3-1 success.
Chris Hughton said of his leading marksman: “He came on and wanted to make an impact in the game and that’s what happened.
“We need to spread the goals around a bit more, but if you said would I rather have someone in form and scoring goals, then of course I would.”
We’re hoping Murray is unleashed on Derby from the outset, especially with Florin Andone receiving a retrospective three-match ban for elbowing West Brom’s Sam Field.
Looking at the Brighton vs Derby odds, a punt on Murray at 11/4 to net first makes sense.
Derby have done incredibly well on the road in knockout matches this term, notably beating Manchester United on penalties at Old Trafford in the EFL Cup and coming through a shoot-out at Southampton in this competition.
However, the Rams were lacklustre when scraping past Accrington 1-0 at The Crown Ground last month, even after the League One outfit went down to 10 men on the hour mark.
Frank Lampard blamed poor playing conditions for that below-par performance after Martyn Waghorn’s 75th-minute close-range strike proved decisive.
But Accrington went close three times through Billy Kee and County will need to do better to keep out Brighton.
The hamstring injury picked up by Mason Mount in that match may play on Lampard’s mind, too, especially with Wednesday’s vital Championship clash with Millwall and a subsequent trip to arch-rivals Nottingham Forest on the horizon.
We’re going for Albion to shade a cagey contest 1-0 at 25/4 to finish off our Brighton vs Derby betting tips.
Additional stats
Last FA Cup result:
West Brom 1-3 BRIGHTON (AET) – Florin Andone, Glenn Murray (2)
Accrington 0-1 DERBY – Martyn Waghorn
Head-to-head: Brighton 3-0 Derby, Derby 0-0 Brighton, Brighton 1-1 Derby, Derby 2-2 Brighton
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