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Think Castleford will win? BET HERE! Think Saints will win? BET HERE! All Super League odds
Odds: Castleford 1/2, Draw 20/1, St Helens 8/5
Kick Off: 2000, 28/09/2017
Stadium: Mend-a-Hose Jungle
TV: Sky Sports
Castleford and St Helens are just one win away from the Grand Final and a full house is expected as they battle it out for a place at Old Trafford.
The Tigers have dominated Super League in 2017, earning home advantage in the first semi-final, but now must prove they can perform under play-off pressure.
We reckon they will hold their nerve and are taking 91/100 for the hosts to win by more than six points in our Castleford vs St Helens betting tips.
Castleford played some champagne rugby to win the League Leaders’ Shield for the first time in the club’s 91-year history, finishing 10 points clear at the top.
Losing to Hull in the quarter-finals of the Challenge Cup has put a question mark over their ability in one-off knockout matches.
It must also be noted that Saints became the first visiting team to win at the Mend-a-Hose Jungle this year in the opening round of the Super 8s two months ago.
However, Daryl Powell commented: “We were a little bit off that night and our team might look a little bit different to what it did that night. We’ve just got to turn up and play well.”
Cas are expected to have scrum-half Luke Gale back from appendicitis, while Zak Hardaker, Nathan Massey, Grant Millington, Adam Milner, Junior Moors, Greg Minikin and captain Michael Shenton were rested last week.
That should give the Tigers a fitness edge and we rate them as worthy favourites at 1/2 to prevail in our Castleford vs St Helens betting preview.
St Helens looked outsiders to make the top four when suffering three consecutive defeats in the Super 8s but responded with a hat-trick of victories to sneak in.
Saints have won 11 of their 17 games under Australian coach Justin Holbrook, including that 26-12 triumph at the Jungle, since he replaced Keiron Cunningham and stepped up the defensive intensity.
However, the visitors were fortunate to secure a last-gasp victory at Wakefield three weeks ago and had to work harder than a 30-4 scoreline suggests at Salford last time out.
Holbrook has a fit-again Jonny Lomax available but we just don’t think Saints have the attacking firepower to match an on-song Castleford.
Additional stats
This season’s head-to-head results: St Helens 26 Castleford 22, Castleford 16 St Helens 12, Castleford 12 St Helens 26.
Last six league matches: Castleford L W W W W W, St Helens W W W L L L.
Top try scorers: Greg Eden (Castleford) 38; Adam Swift (St Helens) 24.
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