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Odds: Greece 9/4, Draw 12/5, Croatia 23/20
Kick Off: 1945, 12/11/2017
Stadium: Karaiskakis Stadium
TV: Sky Sports
Greece were their own worst enemies when going down 4-1 to Croatia in the first leg of their World Cup qualifier and will surely put in a better defensive display in the return fixture.
Michael Skibbe’s side are now big outsiders to qualify for Russia 2018, with 12/1 available for them to progress, but we reckon the Greeks can at least salvage some pride by prevailing in Piraeus.
Punters can get 9/4 for a home win here and that’s a value call for our Greece vs Croatia betting predictions.
Greece goalkeeper Orestis Karnezis was at fault when giving away an early penalty in Zagreb, which Real Madrid midfielder Luka Modric duly converted.
Nikola Kalinic was left unmarked when scoring the second from close range and Sime Vrsaljko capitalised on a bundled back-pass to round things off.
Those slips were out of character for a Greece side traditionally associated with resolute defending and we’re hoping normal service is resumed back on home turf.
Only Belgium won at this venue during the group stage, via a late Romelu Lukaku goal, with just one goal conceded in the other four qualifiers here.
Greece did show they can hurt Croatia going forward, with Sokratis Papastathopoulos netting a fine header and former Fulham striker Kostas Mitroglu twice going close.
Looking at the Greece vs Croatia odds, we like 19/10 for the hosts to score more than once in the second leg.
Admittedly, Croatia did look a class act at times in the opening encounter, with Inter Milan star Ivan Perisic also on target and Atletico Madrid wing-back Vrsaljko setting up two goals in an impressive display.
However, they did lose on the road to both Iceland and Turkey in the latter stages of the Group I campaign.
New coach Zlatko Dalic will only have one thing on his mind on Sunday, booking a trip to next summer’s finals, and no tears will be shed by the visitors if they suffer a narrow defeat and still progress.
That makes 10/1 for a 2-1 home win worth adding to our Greece vs Croatia betting tips.
Additional stats
First-leg result:
CROATIA 4-1 GREECE – Luka Modric (pen), Nikola Kalinic, Ivan Perisic, Andrej Kramaric & Sokratis Papastathopoulos
Previous head-to-head: Greece 2-0 Croatia, Croatia 0-0 Greece, Croatia 2-2 Greece, Greece 3-2 Croatia, Greece 0-1 Croatia, Croatia 1-1 Greece
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Best bets for Greece vs Croatia
Greece to win @ 9/4
Greece to score more than one goal @ 19/10
Greece to win 2-1 @ 10/1
