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[vc_row][vc_column width=”3/4″][vc_column_text]Kick-off: 2000, 28/11/2018
Stadium: Parc des Princes
TV: BT Sport
Trueform shows exactly how well football teams have been playing, helping you to spot potential value bets. See who has performed above expectations and which teams are being underestimated by oddsmakers.
Liverpool have struggled on the road in the Champions League this season but we’re backing them to pick up a crucial point when visiting PSG on Matchday 5.
In an incredibly tight Group C, the Reds have six points alongside Napoli, with their next opponents a point back in third and waiting to pounce.
Our Trueform ratings show what the French aristocrats are capable of at Parc des Princes from when thrashing Red Star 6-1 here.
However, there is little between these teams over the rest of the chart and we’re going with 13/5 for a draw as our initial PSG vs Liverpool prediction.
PSG have been the great pretenders in Europe’s elite club competition over the past few years and even the arrival of Neymar, Kylian Mbappe, Dani Alves and Gianluigi Buffon has yet to make them look like the finished article.
Although only undone by a stoppage-time sickener from Roberto Firmino when going down 3-2 at Anfield in September, Thomas Tuchel’s team were clearly second best on that occasion.
Liverpool had powered ahead through Daniel Sturridge and James Milner, before Thomas Meunier and Mbappe clawed back the deficit.
PSG then romped to victory against Red Star at this venue, with Neymar hitting a hat-trick, but two draws against Napoli have set up a tense finish to this pool.
Past history suggests the French outfit do not thrive under pressure and there are two stats which give Liverpool hope of avoiding defeat.
The hosts have now won only one of their last seven Champions League matches and are without a victory in five games against English teams since edging out Chelsea in 2016.
However, Paris have also lost only two of their last 49 European home games, as well as netting in 20 straight Champions League fixtures, so 3/1 for a score draw stands out from the PSG vs Liverpool odds.
Neymar and Mbappe are fit, despite picking up minor injuries when away on international duty.
Liverpool followed up their exciting opening win over PSG by falling to a last-gasp Lorenzo Insigne strike when beaten 1-0 by Napoli in Italy.
That setback was soon forgotten when Red Star were brushed aside 4-0 at Anfield, with Mohamed Salah bagging a brace.
However, Jurgen Klopp’s side then put in a bizarrely lacklustre performance when losing 2-0 to the group outsiders in Belgrade.
“We made it too easy for them,” moaned Klopp. “They deserved it with the passion they showed.
“We were really dominant in the second half but we couldn’t score the goals we needed.”
The Reds have shown plenty of resolve in big Premier League matches on the road this season, though, drawing at Chelsea and Arsenal and beating Tottenham at Wembley.
We don’t think last season’s finalists will be overawed by this occasion and 21/2 for a thrilling 2-2 stalemate completes our PSG vs Liverpool betting tips.
Sadio Mane and Joe Gomez have both travelled to France after shaking of illness and a minor ankle problem respectively.
Adam Lallana, Dominic Solanke and Nathaniel Clyne are still absent but Klopp has called up Rafael Camacho from the under-23 squad.
Additional stats
Last Champions League result:
Napoli 1-1 PSG – Juan Bernat
Red Star 2-0 LIVERPOOL
Head-to-head: Liverpool 3-2 PSG, Liverpool 2-0 PSG, PSG 3-0 Liverpool
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