Alaves vs Real Madrid: Predictions, Betting odds, Lineups, Preview

Explore Bwin's detailed preview for Alaves vs Real Madrid in the La Liga. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 20:00 GMT match.

• Fixture: Alaves vs Real Madrid
• Date: Sunday, 14 December 2025
• Kick-off: 20:00 GMT
• Venue: Estadio Mendizorrotza

Alaves, buoyed by their recent home win against Real Sociedad, will look to exploit their solid defensive structure in a 4-1-4-1 formation. Their ability to secure a clean sheet against a strong side like Real Sociedad suggests they could frustrate Real Madrid, particularly if they can maintain the same level of defensive organisation. However, Real Madrid's attacking prowess, even with several key players out injured, remains a significant threat, especially with the likes of Mbappé and Vinicius Júnior leading the line.

Real Madrid, despite a recent home loss to Celta Vigo, have shown resilience on the road, drawing three of their last four away. Their predicted 4-4-2 formation should allow them to dominate possession and create numerous scoring opportunities. Given Alaves's recent struggles against top teams, Real Madrid should have the edge, but Alaves's home form could make this a closer contest than expected.

Alaves have shown signs of improvement, securing a crucial 1-0 victory at home against Real Sociedad. This win, coupled with their earlier 2-1 triumph over Espanyol, indicates a growing confidence and defensive solidity at home. However, their recent losses, particularly the 1-3 defeat to Barcelona and the 0-1 loss to Celta Vigo, highlight vulnerabilities against stronger opposition.

Recent La Liga Results:

• Win: 1-0 vs Real Sociedad (H)
• Loss: 1-3 vs Barcelona (A)
• Loss: 0-1 vs Celta Vigo (H)
• Loss: 0-1 vs Girona (A)
• Win: 2-1 vs Espanyol (H)

Real Madrid's form has been inconsistent, with a surprising 0-2 home loss to Celta Vigo marring their recent record. However, their 3-0 win away at Athletic Club demonstrates their potential to perform well on the road. The three draws in their last four away games suggest a team that can grind out results even when not at their best, which bodes well for their upcoming match against Alaves.

Recent La Liga Results:

• Loss: 0-2 vs Celta Vigo (H)

• Win: 3-0 vs Athletic Club (A)

• Draw: 1-1 vs Girona (A)

• Draw: 2-2 vs Elche (A)

• Draw: 0-0 vs Rayo Vallecano (A)

Real Madrid have dominated recent encounters with Alaves, winning all five of their last meetings. The most recent clash saw Real Madrid secure a 1-0 victory away from home, while their largest margin of victory was a 5-0 win. Alaves have struggled to find the net against Real Madrid, failing to score in three of these matches, indicating a significant challenge ahead for them.

Recent La Liga Results

• Alaves 0-1 Real Madrid (13 Apr 2025)
• Real Madrid 3-2 Alaves (24 Sep 2024)
• Real Madrid 5-0 Alaves (14 May 2024)
• Alaves 0-1 Real Madrid (21 Dec 2023)
• Real Madrid 3-0 Alaves (19 Feb 2022)

• Facundo Garcés (Suspended) - Out

• Nikola Maraš (Ligament) - Doubt

• Ferland Mendy (Muscle) - Out

• Dani Carvajal (Knee) - Out

• Éder Militão (Tendon) - Out

• Trent Alexander-Arnold (Hamstring) - Out

• Fran García (Suspended) - Out

• Endrick (Suspended) - Out

• Álvaro Carreras (Suspended) - Out

• David Alaba (Muscle) - Doubt

• Dean Huijsen (Muscle) - Doubt

• Kylian Mbappé (Finger) - Doubt

• Predicted lineup: Sivera (GK), Otto (DF), Tenaglia (DF), Pacheco (DF), Parada (DF), Guevara (MF), Calebe (MF), Ibáñez (MF), Suárez (MF), Rebbach (MF), Boyé (AT)

Alaves are expected to deploy a 4-1-4-1 formation, with Guevara anchoring the midfield to provide defensive stability. This setup should allow them to absorb pressure and counter-attack effectively, with Boyé leading the line and supported by the creative talents of Suárez and Calebe.

• Predicted lineup: Courtois (GK), Asencio (DF), Huijsen (DF)(If fit), Rudiger (DF), Camavinga (DF), Valverde (MF), Güler (MF), Tchouaméni (MF), Bellingham (MF), Mbappé (AT)(If fit), Vinicius Júnior (AT)

Real Madrid's predicted 4-4-2 formation will likely see them dominate possession, with Tchouaméni and Bellingham controlling the midfield. The attacking duo of Mbappé and Vinicius Júnior will be key to breaking down Alaves's defence, using their pace and skill to exploit any gaps.

• Boyé vs Rudiger: Boyé's physicality and goal-scoring threat will be tested against Rudiger's defensive prowess.

• Calebe vs Bellingham: Calebe's creativity will need to outshine Bellingham's control and influence in the midfield.

• Guevara (Alaves): Guevara's role as the defensive anchor will be crucial in breaking up Real Madrid's attacks.

• Júnior (Real Madrid): Júnior's pace and dribbling ability make him a constant threat to Alaves's backline.

Alaves vs Real Madrid at 20:00 GMT on Sunday, 14 December 2025, will be broadcast live for viewers in the UK on Premier Sports 1.

Bwin is predicting that the score will be Alaves 1-2 Real Madrid.

Bwin is giving fans the ability to bet on various markets for Alaves vs Real Madrid, including match betting, correct score and anytime scorer odds.

Bwin brings you the most exciting offers to enhance your experience.

For the best La Liga outright predictions, explore our guide.

Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.