FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund: Predictions, Betting odds, Lineups, Preview

Match Prediction: FSV Mainz 05 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

Mainz's recent form suggests a team capable of both high-scoring victories and tight losses. Their 4-1 win against Augsburg away from home indicates an ability to exploit defensive weaknesses, yet their home losses to Leipzig and Köln show vulnerability against strong opposition.

Dortmund, on the other hand, have been in robust form, securing three consecutive league wins before a draw against St. Pauli. Their ability to maintain clean sheets and score consistently could challenge Mainz's fluctuating defence, but Mainz's home advantage and occasional offensive flair might keep the game competitive.

The tactical battle will likely hinge on Mainz's ability to counter Dortmund's attacking prowess. Mainz's recent results show they can be dangerous on the break, which could be key against Dortmund's high-pressing style.

However, Dortmund's consistent scoring and defensive solidity might ultimately prove too much for Mainz. Expect a closely contested match with Dortmund's quality likely to shine through.

Mainz have shown a mixed bag of results recently, with a standout 4-1 victory against Augsburg highlighting their potential to dominate weaker teams. However, their home form has been less convincing, with losses to Leipzig and Köln suggesting struggles against stronger sides.

This inconsistency could impact their performance against Dortmund, as they will need to find a balance between their attacking flair and defensive resilience to compete effectively.

Recent Bundesliga Results:

• Win: 4-1 vs FC Augsburg (A)

• Loss: 0-1 vs RB Leipzig (H)

• Draw: 1-1 vs VfL Wolfsburg (A)

• Loss: 0-1 vs FC Köln (H)

Dortmund's recent form has been impressive, with three consecutive Bundesliga wins after a draw against St. Pauli on the opening weekend. Their ability to keep clean sheets and score consistently indicates a team in good shape, both defensively and offensively.

This strong run of form should give them confidence heading into the match against Mainz, where they will look to continue their winning streak and maintain their defensive solidity.

Recent Bundesliga Results:

• Win: 1-0 vs VfL Wolfsburg (H)

• Win: 2-0 vs Heidenheim (A)

• Win: 3-0 vs FC Union Berlin (H)

• Draw: 3-3 vs St. Pauli (A)

The head-to-head record between Mainz and Dortmund shows a competitive rivalry, with recent matches producing high-scoring affairs. Mainz secured a 3-0 victory at home in May 2024, while Dortmund won 3-1 in March 2025. The teams have also drawn twice in their last five encounters, indicating that matches between them are often closely contested.

Recent Bundesliga Results

• Borussia Dortmund 3-1 FSV Mainz 05 (30 Mar 2025)

• FSV Mainz 05 3-1 Borussia Dortmund (09 Nov 2024)

• FSV Mainz 05 3-0 Borussia Dortmund (11 May 2024)

• Borussia Dortmund 1-1 FSV Mainz 05 (19 Dec 2023)

• Borussia Dortmund 2-2 FSV Mainz 05 (27 May 2023)

• Anthony Caci (Tendon) - Out

• Andreas Hanche-Olsen (Head) - Out

• Lee Jae-Sung (Hamstring) - Out

• Daniel Gleiber (Hip) - Out

• Maxim Dal (Knee) - Out

• Dominik Kohr (Suspended) - Out

• Benedict Hollerbach (Hamstring) - Doubt

• Niklas Tauer (Knee) - Doubt

• Niklas Süle (Calf) - Out

• Julien Duranville (Shoulder) - Out

• Emre Can (Groin) - Out

• Aarón Anselmino (Muscle) - Doubt

• Fabio Silva (Groin) - Doubt

• Pascal Gross (Illness) - Doubt

• Predicted lineup: Zentner, Bell, Leitsch, Da Costa, Widmer, Sano, Amiri, Mwene, Nebel. Nordin, Sieb

Mainz's predicted lineup suggests a focus on maintaining a solid defensive structure while relying on the creativity of Amiri and Nordin to spark their attack. Their recent form indicates a need for improved defensive organisation to counter Dortmund's potent offence.

• Predicted lineup: Kobel, Anton, Schlotterbeck, Bensebaini, Ryerson, Sabitzer, Nmecha, Svensson, Adeyemi, Beier, Guirassy

Dortmund's predicted lineup emphasises their attacking strength with Guirassy and Adeyemi leading the charge. Their recent results suggest a strategy of high pressing and quick transitions, which could exploit Mainz's defensive vulnerabilities.

• Mwene vs Ryerson: Mwene's defensive solidity will be crucial in containing Ryerson's dynamic runs down the flank.

• Amiri vs Sabitzer: Amiri's creativity will be tested against Sabitzer's midfield control and ability to disrupt Mainz's rhythm.

• Nordin (FSV Mainz 05): His pace and directness could be key in breaking down Dortmund's defence.

• Guirassy (Borussia Dortmund): His goal-scoring form will be vital in maintaining Dortmund's attacking threat.

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