FSV Mainz 05 vs FC St. Pauli: Predictions, Betting odds, Lineups, Preview

Explore Bwin's detailed preview for FSV Mainz 05 vs FC St. Pauli in the Bundesliga. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 14:30 GMT match.

• Fixture: FSV Mainz 05 vs FC St. Pauli
• Date: Sunday, 21 December 2025
• Kick-off: 14:30 GMT
• Venue: Mewa Arena

FSV Mainz 05's recent form suggests a team struggling to secure victories, with their last five matches resulting in two draws and three losses. However, their predicted 5-4-1 formation indicates a focus on defensive solidity, which could help them contain FC St. Pauli's attack. The presence of key players like Lee Jae-Sung in midfield could provide the necessary creativity to unlock the opposition's defence.

FC St. Pauli have shown more promise with a recent win and a draw in their last five games. Their 3-4-2-1 formation suggests an attacking approach, with players like Jackson Irvine and Marcel Hartel likely to push forward. Despite their inconsistent form, St. Pauli's attacking options could pose a threat to Mainz's defence, making for a closely contested match.

FSV Mainz 05's recent form has been disappointing, with only two draws and three losses in their last five matches. This lack of positive results could impact their confidence and momentum going into the game against FC St. Pauli. Their inability to secure a win against strong teams like Bayern München and Borussia Mönchengladbach suggests they may struggle to assert dominance in this fixture.

Recent Bundesliga Results:

• Draw: 2-2 vs Bayern München (A)
• Loss: 0-1 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach (H)
• Loss: 0-4 vs SC Freiburg (A)
• Draw: 1-1 vs 1899 Hoffenheim (H)
• Loss: 0-1 vs Eintracht Frankfurt (A)

FC St. Pauli have shown signs of improvement in their recent form, securing a win and a draw in their last five matches. This positive momentum could boost their confidence heading into the game against FSV Mainz 05. However, their losses against strong teams like Bayern München and SC Freiburg indicate they may face challenges against a well-organised Mainz side.

Recent Bundesliga Results:

• Win: 2-1 vs 1. FC Heidenheim (H)

• Draw: 1-1 vs 1. FC Köln (A)

• Loss: 1-3 vs Bayern München (A)

• Loss: 0-1 vs Union Berlin (H)

• Loss: 1-2 vs SC Freiburg (A)

The head-to-head record between FSV Mainz 05 and FC St. Pauli shows a clear dominance by Mainz, as they have won the last four encounters. The most recent match on 22 February 2025 resulted in a 2-0 victory for Mainz, while their previous meeting on 5 October 2024 ended in a 3-0 win for Mainz. This pattern suggests that Mainz have historically had the upper hand in this fixture, which could influence the upcoming match.

Recent Bundesliga Results

• FSV Mainz 05 2-0 FC St. Pauli (22 Feb 2025)

• FC St. Pauli 0-3 FSV Mainz 05 (05 Oct 2024)

• FSV Mainz 05 2-1 FC St. Pauli (14 May 2011)

• FC St. Pauli 2-4 FSV Mainz 05 (18 Dec 2010)

• Anthony Caci (Thigh) - Out

• Maxim Dal (Knee) - Out

• Robin Zentner (Groin) - Out

• Phillipp Mwene (Groin) - Out

• Maxim Leitsch (Thigh) - Out

• Sota Kawasaki (Hip) - Out

• Nadiem Amiri (Muscle) - Doubt

• Silvan Widmer (Muscle) - Doubt

• Niklas Tauer (Cruciate Ligament) - Doubt

• David Nemeth (Groin) - Out

• Marwin Schmitz (Ankle) - Out

• Andreas Hountondji (Hamstring) - Out

• Ricky Jade-Jones (Hamstring) - Out

• Eric Smith (Suspended) - Out

• Predicted lineup: Batz (GK), Da Costa (DF), Kohr (DF), Bell (DF), Potulski (DF), Veratschnig (DF), Boving (MF), Maloney (MF), Sano (MF), Jae-Sung (MF), Hollerbach (AT)

FSV Mainz 05's predicted 5-4-1 formation suggests a focus on defensive stability, with defenders like Da Costa, Kohr, Bell, Potulski, and Veratschnig forming a solid backline. The midfield quartet of Boving, Maloney, Sano and Lee Jae-Sung will be crucial in transitioning from defence to attack and providing support to the lone striker, Hollerbach.

• Predicted lineup: Vasilj (GK), Wahl (DF), Dzwigala (DF), Mets (DF), Pyrka (MF), Sands (MF), Irvine (MF), Oppie (MF), Fujita (AT), Lage (AT), Kaars (AT)

FC St. Pauli's predicted 3-4-2-1 formation indicates an attacking approach, with defenders Wahl, Dzwigala, and Mets providing a solid base. The midfield duo of Sands and Irvine, alongside Oppie and Pyrka, will be key in controlling the game's tempo and feeding the attacking trio of Fujita, Lage, and Kaars, who will look to exploit any gaps in Mainz's defence.

• Hollerbach vs Mets: Hollerbach's pace and movement will be tested against Mets' defensive solidity.

• Boving vs Oppie: Boving's athleticism in midfield will be crucial against Oppie's tenacity and work rate.

• Jae-Sung (FSV Mainz 05): Lee Jae-Sung's ability to control the midfield and create chances will be vital for Mainz's success.

• Sands (FC St. Pauli): Sands' role in dictating the tempo and breaking up Mainz's attacks will be key for St. Pauli.

FSV Mainz 05 vs FC St. Pauli at 14:30 GMT on Sunday, 21 December 2025, will be broadcast live for viewers in the UK on Amazon Prime PPV.

Bwin is predicting that the score will be FSV Mainz 05 1-1 FC St. Pauli.

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