RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV: Predictions, Betting odds, Lineups, Preview

Explore Bwin's detailed preview for RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV in the Bundesliga. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 14:30 BST match.

• Fixture: RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV

• Date: Saturday, 18 October 2025

• Kick-off: 14:30 BST

• Venue: Red Bull Arena

Match Prediction: RB Leipzig 2-0 Hamburger SV

RB Leipzig's recent form suggests a strong performance at home. Their ability to secure narrow victories on the road against VfL Wolfsburg and FSV Mainz 05 indicates a solid defensive structure, complemented by clinical finishing.

Hamburger SV, despite a convincing win against FSV Mainz 05, has shown vulnerability, particularly in their heavy defeats to Bayern München and St. Pauli. This match could see Leipzig exploiting Hamburger's defensive frailties while maintaining a tight backline.

Hamburger SV's attacking prowess was evident in their 4-0 victory over Mainz, but their inconsistency, especially away from home, could be their downfall. Leipzig's home record, with wins against FC Köln and Heidenheim, suggests they are likely to control the game's tempo and create scoring opportunities.

The key for Hamburger will be to capitalise on any Leipzig errors, but their recent form indicates this might be challenging against a well-drilled Leipzig side.

RB Leipzig's recent form has been impressive, with four wins in their last five matches, including three clean sheets. This defensive solidity, combined with their ability to score crucial goals, positions them well for this match.

Their victories against VfL Wolfsburg and FSV Mainz 05 on the road demonstrate their capability to perform under pressure, which could be vital against Hamburger SV.

Recent Bundesliga Results:

• Draw: 1-1 vs Borussia Dortmund (A)

• Win: 1-0 vs VfL Wolfsburg (A)

• Win: 3-1 vs FC Köln (H)

• Win: 1-0 vs FSV Mainz 05 (A)

• Win: 2-0 vs Heidenheim (H)

Hamburger SV's form has been mixed, with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five games. Their ability to score heavily against Mainz is promising, but the heavy defeats to Bayern München and St. Pauli highlight defensive issues.

This inconsistency could be a significant factor against a disciplined Leipzig side, particularly away from home.

Recent Bundesliga Results:

• Win: 4-0 vs FSV Mainz 05 (H)
• Draw: 0-0 vs FC Union Berlin (A)
• Win: 2-1 vs Heidenheim (H)
• Loss: 0-5 vs FC Bayern München (A)
• Loss: 0-2 vs St. Pauli (H)

The head-to-head record between RB Leipzig and Hamburger SV shows a competitive history, with Leipzig winning two out of the last four Bundesliga encounters. The most recent match ended in a 1-1 draw, indicating that Hamburger can hold their own against Leipzig.

However, Leipzig's dominant victories in the other matches suggest they have the upper hand in this fixture.

• RB Leipzig 1-1 Hamburger SV (27 Jan 2018)

• Hamburger SV 0-2 RB Leipzig (08 Sep 2017)

• RB Leipzig 0-3 Hamburger SV (11 Feb 2017)

• Hamburger SV 0-4 RB Leipzig (17 Sep 2016)

• Timo Werner (Groin) - Out

• Kosta Nedeljkovic (Knee) - Out

• Max Finkgräfe (Knee) - Out

• Xaver Schlager (Calf) - Doubt

• Benjamin Henrichs (Achilles) - Doubt

• Kevin Kampl (illness) - Doubt

• Yussuf Poulsen (Thigh) - Out

• Warmed Omari (Ankle) - Out

• Fabio Vieira (Suspended) - Out

• Bakery Jatta (Illness) - Doubt

• Hannes Hermann (Ankle) - Doubt

• Predicted lineup: Gulácsi, Baku, Orbán, Lukeba, Raum, Seiwald, Baumgartner, Ouédraogo, Bakayoko, Rômulo, Nusa

RB Leipzig's predicted lineup suggests a focus on maintaining a strong defensive structure while utilising Bakayoko and Nusa to exploit spaces in Hamburger's defence. Their recent form indicates they will control possession and look to break down Hamburger's backline methodically.

• Predicted lineup: Fernandes, Capaldo, Vuskovic, Elfadli, Gocholeishvili, Lokonga, Remberg, Muheim, Philippe, Königsdörffer, Dompé

Hamburger SV's predicted lineup indicates a reliance on Vuskovic and Capaldo to provide defensive stability. Their recent performances suggest they will need to be more disciplined and effective in both boxes to challenge Leipzig.

• Bakayoko vs Muheim: Bakayoko's pace and creativity will test Muheim's defensive capabilities, potentially creating scoring opportunities for Leipzig.

• Siewald vs Lokonga: Siewald’s midfield control will be crucial against Lokonga, who will need to disrupt Leipzig's rhythm to give Hamburger a chance.

• Baumgartner (RB Leipzig): Baumgartner's ability to score crucial goals makes him a vital asset for Leipzig, especially in tight matches.

• Philippe (Hamburger SV): Philippe's creativity and goal-scoring threat are essential for Hamburger SV to challenge Leipzig's defence.

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Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.