St. Pauli vs TSG Hoffenheim: Predictions, Betting odds, Lineups, Preview

Explore Bwin's detailed preview for St. Pauli vs TSG Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga. Stats, odds, predictions, and lineups for the 16:30 BST match.

• Fixture: St. Pauli vs TSG Hoffenheim

• Date: Sunday, 19 October 2025

• Kick-off: 16:30 BST

• Venue: Millerntor-Stadion

Match Prediction: St. Pauli 2-1 TSG Hoffenheim

St. Pauli, despite recent losses, has shown resilience at home, securing victories against Augsburg and Hamburger SV. Their ability to score against strong teams like Leverkusen suggests they can exploit Hoffenheim's defensive vulnerabilities, particularly after Hoffenheim's recent heavy defeat to Bayern München.

St. Pauli's attacking players, such as Lage and Kaars, could capitalise on Hoffenheim's inconsistent backline.

Hoffenheim's form has been erratic, with notable wins against Union Berlin, but also significant losses at home. Their away performance against Freiburg indicates they can hold their own on the road, but their defence has been porous.

This match could see Hoffenheim struggle to contain St. Pauli's home advantage and attacking threat, potentially leading to a closely contested game.

St. Pauli's recent form has been mixed, with three losses in their last five games, but their home victories against Augsburg and Hamburger SV highlight their potential. These wins demonstrate their ability to perform under pressure and capitalise on home support.

The losses, particularly against strong teams like Leverkusen and Stuttgart, suggest areas for improvement, but their offensive output remains promising.

Recent Bundesliga Results:

• Loss: 0-1 vs Werder Bremen (A)

• Loss: 1-2 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen (H)

• Loss: 0-2 vs VfB Stuttgart (A)

• Win: 2-1 vs FC Augsburg (H)

• Win: 2-0 vs Hamburger SV (A)

Hoffenheim's recent results show a team struggling for consistency, with only one win in their last five matches. Their heavy defeat at home to Bayern München and loss to Köln indicate defensive frailties that could be exploited.

However, their victory against Union Berlin on the road suggests they can still pose a threat, particularly if they manage to stabilise their backline.

Recent Bundesliga Results:

• Loss: 0-1 vs FC Köln (H)
• Draw: 1-1 vs SC Freiburg (A)
• Loss: 1-4 vs FC Bayern München (H)
• Win: 4-2 vs FC Union Berlin (A)
• Loss: 1-3 vs Eintracht Frankfurt (H)

The head-to-head record between St. Pauli and TSG Hoffenheim reveals a competitive rivalry, with St. Pauli emerging victorious in the most recent encounters. St. Pauli secured a 1-0 victory in their last meeting on 14 March 2025 and a 2-0 win on 02 November 2024.

Earlier matches in 2011 and 2010 were more evenly contested, with a draw and a win for Hoffenheim, respectively.

• St. Pauli 1-0 TSG Hoffenheim (14 Mar 2025)

• TSG Hoffenheim 0-2 St. Pauli (02 Nov 2024)

• TSG Hoffenheim 2-2 St. Pauli (23 Jan 2011)

• St. Pauli 0-1 TSG Hoffenheim (28 Aug 2010)

• David Nemeth (Tendon) - Out

• Andreas Hountondji (Knee) - Out

• Jackson Irvine (Muscle) - Doubt

• Ricky Jade-Jones (Shoulder) - Doubt

• Hennes Behrens (Hamstring) - Out

• Adam Hložek (Ankle) - Out

• Valentin Gendrey (Ankle) - Out

• Koki Machida (Knee) - Doubt

• Predicted lineup: Vasilj, Wahl, Smith, Ritzka, Saliakas, Sands, Fujita, Oppie, Sinani, Kaars, Lage

St. Pauli's predicted lineup suggests a focus on maintaining a solid defence with Wahl, Ritzka, and Smith, while relying on the attacking prowess of Sinani and Lage to break down Hoffenheim's defence.

• Predicted lineup: Baumann, Coufal, Hranac, Hadjari, Bernardo, Avdullahu, Burger, Damar, Asllani, Touré, Lemperle

Hoffenheim's predicted lineup indicates a balanced approach, with Hadjari and Hranac anchoring the defence, and Damar and Touré expected to create the scoring opportunities.

• Lage vs Hranac: This matchup will see St. Pauli's forward Lage test Hoffenheim's defender Hranac, potentially capitalising on any defensive lapses.

• Fujita vs Burger: St. Pauli's midfielder Fujita will face off against Hoffenheim's Burger, with both players crucial in controlling the midfield tempo.

• Lage (St. Pauli): Lage's role in St. Pauli's attack makes him a key player, capable of unlocking Hoffenheim's defence with his creativity and finishing.

• Avdullahu (TSG Hoffenheim): Avdullahu’s importance in Hoffenheim's midfield cannot be overstated, as his ability to distribute the ball will be vital for their success.

Bwin's detailed preview for St. Pauli vs TSG Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga Sunday, 19 October 2025 at 16:30 BST.

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Odds and market details are accurate as of the time of publication.