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Kick Off: 1500, 08/01/2017
Stadium: Riverside Stadium
Middlesbrough are without a win in their last three matches and their last six home fixtures have involved at least one team not scoring. Boro have the lowest home record for both teams scoring at 30% and they have scored the joint fewest number of goals in the Premier League.
Sheffield Wednesday are unbeaten in their last five Championship matches and all of those games involved under 2.5 goals. In fact only 23% of the Owls’ away games have produced over 2.5 goals this season, the second fewest behind Aston Villa.
Middlesbrough’s FA Cup clash with Sheffield Wednesday brings together two sides that struggle to score goals in their respective divisions.
Aitor Karanka’s charges are 4/5 to progress into round four in 90 minutes, but the Boro boss rang the changes for last season’s third-round tie against Burnley, so it remains to be seen what kind of a team he picks to face the Owls.
Boro are the joint lowest scorers in the Premier League and their last match was a goalless draw, which is available at 6/1. The tie to go to a replay is 5/2, which looks a good price when you consider Boro have drawn more games than any other Premier League team, while the Owls have the joint highest draw record away from home in the Championship.
Sheffield Wednesday are on a decent run of form, unbeaten in their last five matches and just one goal conceded during that spell. The Owls are well-priced at 17/5 to make it into the next round and are 5/1 to win to nil.
At least one team not to score in this game is 13/20, while both to find the net is 11/10 which shows us where these teams are on the attacking front. The game to produce under 2.5 goals is just 13/50, while under 1.5 is 7/4.
Instead, we prefer to look at the half-time market for value. Sheffield Wednesday’s last four games have been goalless at the break and Boro’s previous three have also been scoreless, so 31/20 on 0-0 at the break looks the way to go.
Additional stats
Last result:
MIDDLESBROUGH 0-0 Leicester
SHEFFIELD WEDNESDAY 0-0 Wolves
Head-to-head: Middlesbrough 1-0 Sheffield Wednesday, Sheffield Wednesday 1-3 Middlesbrough, Sheffield Wednesday 2-0 Middlesbrough, Middlesbrough 2-3 Sheffield Wednesday
Team news: New signing Rudy Gestede could make his Boro debut but seems more likely to be on the bench, even though they have a series of injury doubts. Wednesday will be without Kieran Lee, who has had surgery to resolve a hip problem.
