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Rafael Nadal has prevailed in straight sets in his last 10 Grand Slam matches but we’re backing Gilles Muller to end that streak at Wimbledon.
After being totally dominant at the French Open, Nadal has brushed aside John Millman, Donald Young and Karen Khachanov with 3-0 victories.
However, Khachanov did take the 2008 and 2010 champion to a tie-break in a third set in which the Spaniard had to save four break points as the pressure intensified.
Muller has always been a decent competitor on grass and has belied his advancing years with a series of good results on this surface this season.
We’re happy to take 91/100 for the 34-year-old to win at least one set in our Nadal vs Muller betting tips.
The 16th seed claimed the second title of his career and 2017 when beating Alexander Zverev and Ivo Karlovic in the Ricoh Open on grass in Holland.
Muller then reached the semi-finals at Queen’s, accounting for Jo-Wilfried Tsonga and Sam Querrey before going down 3-6 7-5 4-6 in a tight tussle with Marin Cilic.
At Wimbledon, the veteran fired down a tournament-high 72 aces in the first three rounds as he saw off Marton Fucsovics, Lukas Rosol and Britain’s Aljaz Bedene.
Facing Nadal should not faze him either as Muller beat the Spaniard here way back in 2005 and took him to tie-breaks in the first couple of sets in 2011 at the All England Club.
“He’s one of the toughest opponents possible – on this surface, especially,” said Nadal. “This is his best surface, without a doubt.
“He has a great serve and a great volley. He plays well from the baseline here. He’s a tough, tough opponent.
“At the same time, we are in the round of 16 and you cannot expect to have an easy opponent. But he’s a very tough one because he had played a lot on grass this year.”
Nadal is still playing well enough to suggest he will advance but we’re hoping Muller again doesn’t go down without a fight.
Looking at the Nadal vs Muller odds, 11/4 for the fourth seed to oblige 3-1 is a value bet, as is 9/4 we get a tie-break in the first set.
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