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[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Start time: 1600, 13/09/2020
Venue: Arthur Ashe Stadium
TV: Amazon Prime
Dominic Thiem heads into the US Open final in much better form than Alexander Zverev and is fancied to dominate their clash at Flushing Meadows.
Both men are attempting to secure a first grand slam title, but the Austrian seems far more assured of holding his nerve in the New York decider.
We’re snapping up a bwin price boost of 3/2 for the second seed to prevail 3-0 for our opening Zverev vs Thiem prediction.
Zverev has been an enigma at this tournament, appearing badly out of sorts at some points, but repeatedly digging himself out of difficult situations.
The German went into the tournament under a cloud, with a warm-up loss to Andy Murray extending a miserable run of results on the ATP Tour.
He was taken to four sets by moderate opposition in each of the first three rounds, before finally displaying some sparkle in a rout of Alejandro Davidovich Fokina.
Zverev then had to rally from losing the opening set 6-1 when getting past Borna Coric and needed an even more dramatic comeback against Pablo Carreno Busta.
The Spaniard breezed into a 2-0 lead before Zverev turned things around to keep alive hopes of becoming the first male German winner at Flushing Meadows since Boris Becker in 1989.
“Mentally, I stayed in it – even though I was two sets down, I gave myself the best chance I could,” said the fifth seed.
“I think a lot of players would have gone away, but I knew it was a grand slam final (at stake) and I dug deep – very deep.
“Boris won here and that is something I need to achieve. Sunday is going to be extremely difficult but I’m looking forward to it.”
However, a slow start would be hard to overcome here and we’re adding another price boost of 3/1 for Thiem to win the first set 6-2 or 6-3 to our Zverev vs Thiem betting tips.
Thiem has long been regarded as the player most likely to become the first maiden grand slam champion since Croatia’s Marin Cilic won here in 2014.
With Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer absent, then Novak Djokovic suffering a bizarre disqualification, the Austrian has looked doubly determined to seize this golden opportunity.
He has dropped only one set so far, versus Cilic in round three, and consistently performed on a level several notches higher than anything achieved by Zverev.
In-form duo Felix Auger-Aliassime and Alex De Minaur were brushed aside with ease and a 6-2 7-6 7-6 triumph over the rock-solid Daniil Medvedev was full of quality tennis.
Thiem insisted he will not feel any additional pressure at starting as the heavy favourite, stating: “I won’t change my mindset at all – I know what Sascha is capable of.
“From the moment that Novak was out of the tournament, it was clear that there is going to be a new grand slam champion. From that moment on, it was out of my mind.
“Now it’s just Sascha remaining – the last one. He is a hell of player, one of the greatest in the last few years, and has won all the titles besides a major.
“For me, it doesn’t really matter whether it is him or one of the big three.”
However, having given Nadal a decent work-out in the 2019 French Open final before pushing Djokovic all the way to five sets in this year’s Australian Open decider, surely it is now Thiem’s time to shine.
Looking at the Zverev vs Thiem odds, we like 17/20 for the Austrian to win at least six more games than his opponent in a one-sided affair.
Additional stats
Last result:
ZVEREV beat Carreno Busta 3-6 2-6 6-3 6-4 6-3
THIEM beat Medvedev 6-2 7-6 7-6
Head-to-head: Zverev 2-7 Thiem
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