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Kick Off: 1330, 22/04/2018
Stadium: Bet365 Stadium
Trueform shows exactly how well football teams have been playing, helping you to spot potential value bets. See who has performed above expectations and which teams are being underestimated by oddsmakers.
Burnley couldn’t make it six wins on the trot when losing to Chelsea on Thursday night but are worth sticking with at Stoke, judged on our Trueform ratings.
The Potters are deep in relegation trouble after 10 Premier League games without a victory, scoring just six goals during that time.
With the Clarets still chasing a place in Europe next season, we reckon 5/2 for an away win is great value in our Stoke vs Burnley betting predictions.
Stoke did at least end a run of four defeats when drawing 1-1 at West Ham on Monday, but Paul Lambert’s side really need more than just picking up individual points at this stage.
Peter Crouch pounced on a Joe Hart error to put the Potters ahead on 79 minutes, but they couldn’t hold on as Andy Carroll volleyed in a stoppage-time equaliser.
City are five points from safety, with just four games to play, but manager Lambert insisted: “We are still in the fight. There are a lot of hard fixtures for a lot of teams at the bottom, so it will be interesting. It won’t be for the faint-hearted.”
However, we just don’t think the Potters have shown enough to suggest they can pull off a great escape.
Looking at the Stoke vs Burnley odds, we like 15/4 for the Clarets to prevail by a one-goal margin.
Stoke welcome back midfielder Charlie Adam from suspension, while full-back Glen Johnson returned to training on Friday following a groin problem.
But the Potters will still be without defender Kostas Stafylidis (fractured rib) and forward Eric Choupo-Moting (groin).
Burnley had their limitations exposed when losing 2-1 at home to Chelsea, with the Clarets only scoring through a fortuitous deflection off Ashley Barnes.
“We’ve moved forward a long way, but there’s still a gap between clubs like ourselves and the top six,” admitted Sean Dyche.
However, Burnley had previously seen off Everton, West Ham, West Brom, Watford and Leicester, with three of those victories coming on the road.
Dyche insisted he was happy with his side’s effort on Thursday night and the hope is that they will now again find lesser company far more conducive.
Barnes has netted in five of his last seven matches, so let’s take 9/2 for him to break the deadlock in our Stoke vs Burnley betting tips.
Burnley are hoping James Tarkowski can recover from a knock suffered against Chelsea, but Ben Mee, Scott Arfield, Jon Walters and Steven Defour are still out.
Additional stats
Last result:
West Ham 1-1 STOKE – Peter Crouch
BURNLEY 1-2 Chelsea – Ashley Barnes
Head-to-head: Burnley 1-0 Stoke, Burnley 1-0 Stoke, Stoke 2-0 Burnley, Burnley 0-0 Stoke, Stoke 1-2 Burnley
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