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Kick Off: 1500, 01/04/2017
Stadium: Turf Moor
After four straight away games, Burnley will be delighted to return home for the visit of Tottenham as they look to continue this season’s terrific record at Turf Moor.
Sean Dyche will remember that Spurs failed to win on Premier League and FA Cup visits to this venue a couple of years ago and the Clarets are fancied to again get something out of this game, especially with Harry Kane set to miss out.
Our pick of the Burnley vs Tottenham odds is 13/10 for the hosts to avoid defeat.
Trueform tips: Tottenham have been tracking nicely above Burnley in recent weeks, but they have had a run of home fixtures, whereas the Clarets have been on the road. Go back to Burnley’s draw with Chelsea at Turf Moor and an away defeat at Liverpool for Spurs on the same weekend and the ratings inspire us to give the hosts a chance.
Considering their away form has been much maligned, Burnley will be relatively pleased with picking up two points from four straight road trips, with the Clarets drawing at Hull and Sunderland either side of narrow losses at Swansea and Liverpool.
Burnley had 17 shots at the Stadium of Light and Dyche declared: “Only three points away all season, but we’ve been working hard. We had two golden chances in the first half and were in control of the game, then they came out and improved. We got a bit nervy and were not quite as good as we were at Anfield, but we got a point.”
The Clarets’ last six home games in the Premier League have yielded five wins and a 1-1 draw with champions-elect Chelsea, so they should go into the clash with Spurs full of confidence.
Punters can get 9/10 for both teams to score and that will do for us.
Tottenham responded well to going out of the Europa League in disappointing fashion, scoring 15 goals in four straight victories as they beat Stoke, Everton and Southampton in the league and thrashed Millwall to reach the FA Cup semi-finals.
However, all of those matches were played at White Hart Lane, where Spurs have now put together a run of 10 wins on the bounce, but they have not been as effective on the road, losing 2-0 at Liverpool on their last away day in this competition.
Before that, Mauricio Pochettino had to settle for a point at Sunderland and was lucky to share the spoils in a 2-2 draw at Manchester City after being outplayed for much of that game, so they still have plenty to prove when it comes to travelling outside of North London.
A back three of Jan Vertonghen, Toby Alderweireld and Eric Dier, protected by the industrious Victor Wanyama, gives Tottenham a solid platform, but Burnley’s direct style of play could cause problems and we’re taking 27/4 for a 1-1 stalemate.
Additional stats
Last result:
Sunderland 0-0 BURNLEY
TOTTENHAM 2-1 Southampton – Christian Eriksen, Dele Alli (pen)
Head-to-head: Tottenham 2-1 Burnley, Burnley 0-0 Tottenham, Tottenham 4-2 Burnley, Burnley 1-1 Tottenham, Tottenham 2-1 Burnley
