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Odds: Ecuador 23/4, Draw 18/5, Argentina 21/50
Kick Off: 0030, 11/10/2017
Stadium: Estadio Olimpico Atahualpa
Argentina have made a real mess of their World Cup qualifying campaign but know that three points away to Ecuador would get them at least a play-off place.
Winning at high altitude will be no straightforward achievement, but the hosts have nothing to play for and have lost their last five games in the South America pool.
Lionel Messi and Co will be keen to avoid any scares in Quito and 11/10 for an away win to nil gets the nod in our Ecuador vs Argentina betting predictions.
Ecuador got their qualifying campaign off to a flying start two years ago when a surprise 2-0 success over Argentina in Buenos Aires was one of four straight victories.
However, they have only picked up two more wins and eight points in 13 subsequent fixtures, with Brazil, Colombia and Peru all prevailing at Estadio Olimpico Atahualpa.
A 3-0 defeat of Chile here 12 months ago shows that Ecuador cannot be written off, but interim head coach Jorge Celico (who is from Argentina) appears more concerned with rebuilding for the future at the moment.
Manchester United star Antonio Valencia and former West Ham striker Enner Valencia are still going strong, but there are few other familiar names in a fairly young squad.
We’re going for the visitors to reach the safety of being 2-0 up and then shut up shop, with 21/4 for that scoreline featuring in our Ecuador vs Argentina betting tips.
It must be admitted that Argentina have done little to inspire confidence in the latter stages of this campaign, scoring just one goal in their last four World Cup fixtures.
A March 2-0 loss in Bolivia has been followed by three subsequent draws versus Uruguay, Venezuela and Peru, with the two most recent stalemates being at home.
Thursday’s goalless draw with Peru has left them in danger of missing a first World Cup since 1970, but the 2014 beaten finalists were the better team in that contest.
Messi hit the post in the second half and created a number of opportunities that his teammates failed to convert, with Argentina having 66 per cent of the possession and 22 shots, compared to two from Peru.
Juventus star Paulo Dybala and Inter Milan striker Mauro Icardi were unused substitutes, so could hopefully provide fresh legs here.
An early goal would help to settle any nerves, so 21/20 for the visitors to be ahead at half-time and full-time takes the eye from the Ecuador vs Argentina odds.
Additional stats
Last result:
Chile 2-1 ECUADOR – Romario Ibarra
ARGENTINA 0-0 Peru
Head-to-head: Argentina 0-2 Ecuador, Argentina 2-1 Ecuador, Ecuador 0-0 Argentina, Ecuador 1-1 Argentina, Argentina 4-0 Ecuador, Argentina 2-2 Ecuador
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Best bets for Ecuador vs Argentina
Argentina to win to nil @ 11/10
Argentina to win 2-0 @ 21/4
Argentina to lead at HT and FT @ 21/20
