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Kick-off: 0300, 25/07/2021
Stadium: State Farm Stadium, Glendale, Arizona
TV: Premier Sports
Mexico head into the quarter-finals as the 6/4 favourites in the CONCACAF Gold Cup winner odds and will hope to prove why when they face 22/1 outsiders Honduras.
Mexico have won the Gold Cup a record 11 times including three of the last five editions so there is plenty of reason to think they are the team to beat.
They are yet to concede a goal at the 2021 tournament and a win to nil at 23/20 is our opening Mexico vs Honduras prediction.
Mexico were the only team to come through the group stage without their defence being breached, although a 0-0 draw with Trinidad and Tobago was an underwhelming start.
They were easily the dominant team in that game though, preventing their opponents having a shot on target and enjoying 83 per cent possession.
A more clinical performance followed against Guatemala as a brace from Rogelio Funes Mori helped them to a 3-0 win before a 1-0 victory against El Salvador ensured they finished top of Group A.
The absence of Wolves striker Raul Jimenez could prove costly and four goals from 63 shots highlights their main issue.
As long as the clean sheets continue though then Mexico should have enough to progress so we’re backing a win and under 2.5 total goals at 11/5 in the Mexico vs Honduras odds.
Honduras were CONCACAF Gold Cup winners in 1981 but will need to defy the odds if they are to stay on track to repeat that success.
Last month’s friendly in Atlanta will give them some confidence at least as the two teams played out a goalless draw.
Honduras only had 29 per cent of the ball but managed four shots on target to Mexico’s none so there is potential for the underdogs to cause problems.
They made a dream start to their Gold Cup campaign with a 4-0 thrashing of Grenada and then came from behind at half-time to beat Panama 3-2 before a 2-0 defeat against Qatar meant they had to settle for second place in the group.
We expect Honduras to be competitive but Mexico should be more focused than they were last month and should eventually force a breakthrough.
They may need to be patient though so let’s take 3/1 for them to win after drawing at half-time as our final Mexico vs Honduras prediction.
Additional stats
Last result:
MEXICO 1-0 El Salvador – Luis Alfonso Rodriguez
HONDURAS 0-2 Qatar
Head-to-head: Mexico 0-0 Honduras, Mexico 1-0 Honduras, Honduras 3-2 Mexico, Mexico 3-0 Honduras, Mexico 0-0 Honduras, Honduras 0-2 Mexico
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