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Odds: Southampton 39/50, Draw 13/5, Stoke 15/4
Kick Off: 1500, 03/03/2018
Stadium: St Mary’s Stadium
Trueform shows exactly how well football teams have been playing, helping you to spot potential value bets. See who has performed above expectations and which teams are being underestimated by oddsmakers.
Southampton and Stoke have very similar overall profiles judged on our Trueform ratings for their last five Premier League fixtures.
Each team can boast one good win and three solid draws, while suffering just a solitary blip apiece during that period.
It may be fair to make Saints favourites on home turf, but we still feel these sides are hard to split and prefer 13/5 for a stalemate in our Southampton vs Stoke betting predictions.
Southampton sneaked out of the relegation zone on goal difference thanks to Manolo Gabbiadini’s 90th-minute equaliser in a 1-1 draw at Burnley.
The Saints received some assistance from referee Bobby Madley in the build-up, as he impeded Clarets midfielder Ashley Westwood on the halfway line, but a 50-50 split in possession suggested the point was deserved.
“In the second half, we start to do a little bit better, we created a couple of chances,” said Mauricio Pellegrino. “I think it’s a fair result.”
Pellegrino will have been relieved to see late substitute Gabbiadini end a 16-game scoring drought, but now needs more from £19million January recruit Guido Carrillo.
Saints have had a Premier League-high 12 stalemates this term, with only one of the last 10 being goalless, so 15/4 for a score draw stands out from the Southampton vs Stoke odds.
Stoke looked on course for a precious away win at Leicester thanks to Xherdan Shaqiri’s strike just before half-time, only for a rare Jack Butland error to gift the Foxes an equaliser.
That result left the Potters second from bottom, a point behind the Saints, but Paul Lambert remains upbeat regarding their survival hopes.
He said: “We need a bit of a break, like every other team, but if we keep playing the way we are then we’ll certainly climb the table.
“The good thing for me is we are playing ever so well. We’ve only been beaten once since I came in and we’ve had some really hard games.
“Anybody coming to our games in the last few weeks would see Stoke City as a good side.”
Having previously also drawn 1-1 with Brighton, we like 23/4 for that scoreline again here in our Southampton vs Stoke betting tips.
Additional stats
Last result:
Burnley 1-1 SOUTHAMPTON – Manolo Gabbiadini
Leicester 1-1 STOKE – Xherdan Shaqiri
Head-to-head: Stoke 2-1 Southampton, Southampton 0-1 Stoke, Stoke 0-0 Southampton, Stoke 1-2 Southampton, Southampton 0-1 Stoke
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Best bets for Southampton vs Stoke
Match to be drawn @ 13/5
Score draw @ 15/4
Correct score of 1-1 @ 23/4
